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COFES Blog
May
13
Written by:
Russ Henke
5/13/2007 7:20 AM
Again this past week, the economic news contained some ominous signs for the businesses and people of the United States.
Here are just a few items:
- The US Trade Deficit surged in March '07, up 10.4% from the February level. So far this year, the US trade deficit is running at an annual rate of $723 billion, just a tad below the $765 billion deficit set in 2006, the fifth consecutive year of record trade deficits.
- And this was reported as good news: "In a reversal of recent trade trends, the trade deficit with China improved in March 2007, growing by (only) $17.2 billion compared with an increase of $18.4 billion in February."
- Growth of the US economy, as measured by the GDP, slowed to an anemic rate of just 1.3% in Q1 2007, per recent reports. The new trade deficit number may end up lowering that Q1 GDP figure to 0.7%.
- The Treasury Department said on May 10 that through 7 months of this fiscal year, the Federal Deficit grew by "only" $80.8 billion. The federal budget was in surplus for 4 years from 1998 through 2001. But the 2001 recession, the IRAQ war, & Bush's tax cuts have put the budget deep into red ink again, starting in 2002. Deficits are expected to balloon again soon with the higher Social Security & Medicare payments needed as 78 million baby boomers retire.
- Consumer confidence in terms of peoples' feelings about how the economy and their own finances will fare over the next six months fell this week to 24.3, a nine-month low.
- Retail sales at stores open at least a year, known as same-store sales, fell by a record 2.4% in April, the worst since 1970. Wal-Mart's same-store sales fell by 4.6% while Target's dropped by 6.1% !!
- Gasoline prices surged this week to a record nationwide average of $3.07 per gallon, nearly 20 cents higher than two weeks earlier, according to the latest Lundberg Survey. Regular gas in CA rose to $3.66 per gallon.
- Not everyone feels the pinch: "Dow index rallies 111 points on May 11, scores fifth straight weekly gain." ####
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